← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 17, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Simon Bourdeaud'hui, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 39% | 2.58 |
| Antwerp win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Charleroi −0.25 | 46% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Farouck Adekami · Antwerp |
| 34' | ⚽ | Parfait Guiagon · Charleroi |
| 47' | 🟨 | Antoine Bernier · Charleroi |
| 59' | 🟨 | Farouck Adekami · Antwerp |
| 74' | 🟨 | Zeno Van Den Bosch · Antwerp |
| 82' | 🟨 | Mardochee Nzita · Charleroi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antoine Colassin · Charleroi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gabriel Jesus David · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 47.00 | 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1558.74 | 1620.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.94 | 10.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.80 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| league points | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 7.21 | 6.97 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | -0.01 |
| solidity v1 | -0.20 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.61 | 1.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.53 | 1.51 |