← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Verbeke
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 55% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.96 |
| RAAL La Louviere win | 19% | 5.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| RAAL La Louviere −0.75 | 50% | 1.99 |
| St Truiden −0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Robert-Jan Vanwesemael · St Truiden |
| 54' | 🟨 | Jordi Liongola · RAAL La Louviere |
| 70' | ⚽ | Oucasse Mendy · RAAL La Louviere |
| 80' | 🟨 | Visar Musliu · St Truiden |
| 86' | 🟨 | Owen Maes · RAAL La Louviere |
| 90' | ⚽ | Keisuke Goto · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | RAAL La Louviere |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | — |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen |
| coach days | 47.00 | 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | — |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | — |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | — |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | — |
| elo | 1530.54 | 1485.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.55 | — |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | -1.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.49 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 48.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | — |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | — |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | — |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | — |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.79 |
| league points | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 65.67 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 33.00 |
| rest days | 8.80 | 7.10 |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | — |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | -2.00 |
| solidity v1 | 0.84 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.67 |
| state index | 0.67 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | -1.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | — |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.41 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.17 | 0.63 |