← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 17, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 47% | 2.15 |
| Dender win | 26% | 4.02 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dender +0.5 | 52% | 1.98 |
| Anderlecht +0.5 | 48% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Enric Llansana · Anderlecht |
| 66' | 🟨 | Bryan Goncalves · Dender |
| 71' | ⚽ | César Huerta · Anderlecht |
| 84' | ⚽ | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dender | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| venue | Dender Football Complex |
| coach days | 47.00 | 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1485.53 | 1629.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.83 | -6.91 |
| eye test v1 | -1.01 | 1.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.72 |
| league points | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 8.70 | 2.77 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | 0.89 |
| solidity v1 | 0.43 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | — | 28.61 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.12 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.01 |