← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.10 |
| Waregem win | 20% | 5.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Waregem −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Tobias Hedl · Waregem |
| 46' | 🟨 | Lukas Willen · Waregem |
| 48' | 🟨 | Thomas Claes · Waregem |
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Kasper Dolberg · Anderlecht |
| 69' | ⚽ | Serxho Ujka · Waregem |
| 74' | ⚽ (og) | Anton Tanghe · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tochukwu Nnadi · Waregem |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jeppe Erenbjerg · Waregem |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 40.00 | 40.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.40 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1684.07 | 1402.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.48 | 12.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.95 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 66.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | — |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 2.83 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -0.06 |
| solidity v1 | -0.09 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.05 | 25.31 |
| state index | 0.80 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.68 | 0.86 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.69 | 1.44 |