← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 9, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 58% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 |
| Gent win | 19% | 5.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +0.75 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Gent +0.75 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Fedde Leysen · St. Gilloise |
| 38' | 🟨 | Anan Khalaili · St. Gilloise |
| 51' | ⚽ | Kevin Rodriguez · St. Gilloise |
| 73' | ⚽ | Adem Zorgane · St. Gilloise |
| 81' | ⚽ | Hyllarion Goore · Gent |
| 85' | 🟨 | Matisse Samoise · Gent |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ross Sykes · St. Gilloise |
| 86' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adem Zorgane · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | ⚽ | Maksim Paskotsi · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 10 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 39.00 | 39.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1514.78 | 1839.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.64 | 16.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | 1.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 3.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.65 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | — |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | 0.66 |
| solidity v1 | -0.03 | 1.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 25.13 | — |
| state index | -0.73 | 1.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 0.65 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 2.30 |