← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Club Brugge win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ (pen) | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
| 20' | 🟨 | Hannes Van Der Bruggen · Club Brugge |
| 60' | 🟨 | Nathan De Cat · Anderlecht |
| 66' | 🟨 | Enric Llansana · Anderlecht |
| 79' | ⚽ | Adriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Flávio Nazinho · Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Jan Breydel Stadion |
| coach days | 33.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1670.93 | 1625.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.18 | -29.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.70 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 1.80 | 2.88 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | 0.41 |
| solidity v1 | 0.08 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 22.92 | 28.61 |
| state index | 0.51 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.22 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 1.68 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.54 |