← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Aug 3, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 57% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 |
| Antwerp win | 20% | 4.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Antwerp −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Vincent Janssen · Antwerp |
| 28' | ⚽ | Zakaria El Ouahdi · Genk |
| 71' | 🟨 | Thibo Somers · Antwerp |
| 89' | 🟨 | Dennis Praet · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 33.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1673.41 | 1602.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.41 | -8.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.73 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.80 | 63.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.75 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 6.79 | 8.70 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| solidity v1 | 0.05 | -1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.21 | — |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.49 | 2.04 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 1.35 |