← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sat, Aug 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Verbeke
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 45% | 2.10 |
| Waregem win | 30% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Waregem −0.25 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.50 |
| Under | 35% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Griffin Yow · Westerlo |
| 11' | ⚽ | Josimar Alcócer · Westerlo |
| 30' | ⚽ | Jeppe Erenbjerg · Waregem |
| 42' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Traore · Waregem |
| 75' | 🟨 | Haspolat Dogucan · Westerlo |
| 82' | ⚽ | Isa Sakamoto · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 32.00 | 32.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.74 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1575.65 | 1408.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.57 | 12.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.61 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 66.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | — |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 6.91 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | -0.75 |
| solidity v1 | -0.93 | — |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 24.91 | 25.31 |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.01 | — |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.82 | — |