← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Jul 27, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 44% | 2.17 |
| Gent win | 30% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Gent −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.63 |
| Under | 40% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Atsuki Ito · Gent |
| 77' | ⚽ (og) | Leonardo Lopes · St Truiden |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Wilfried Kanga · Gent |
| 88' | ⚽ | Adriano Bertaccini · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ilias Sebaoui · St Truiden |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ryotaro Ito · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen |
| coach days | 26.00 | 26.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1502.58 | 1520.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.11 | -51.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.49 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | -0.18 |
| solidity v1 | -0.05 | -2.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 25.13 |
| state index | 0.06 | -1.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.70 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.83 | 1.33 |