← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Sun, Jul 27, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Simon Bourdeaud'hui, Belgium
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 54% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.03 |
| Westerlo win | 21% | 4.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −0.75 | 52% | 1.93 |
| Anderlecht −0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.68 |
| Under | 42% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
| 23' | 🟨 | Lucas Hey · Anderlecht |
| 37' | ⚽ | Tristan Degreef · Anderlecht |
| 44' | 🟨 | Enric Llansana · Anderlecht |
| 46' | ⚽ | Kyan Vaesen · Westerlo |
| 54' | 🟨 | Thomas Van den Keybus · Westerlo |
| 58' | ⚽ | Matija Frigan · Westerlo |
| 64' | 🟨 | Tristan Degreef · Anderlecht |
| 65' | ⚽ | Nilson Angulo · Anderlecht |
| 70' | ⚽ | Nathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht |
| 71' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 10 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| 80' | 🟨 | Luis Vázquez · Anderlecht |
| 90' | ⚽ | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
| coach days | 26.00 | 26.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1659.92 | 1586.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.35 | 31.06 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 1.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 2.73 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | 0.98 |
| solidity v1 | -0.85 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 24.80 | 23.68 |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.82 | 1.91 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 2.42 |