← Jupiler Pro League 2025-26 · Fri, Jul 25, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 52% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Antwerp win | 22% | 4.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Antwerp +0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.95 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Vincent Janssen · Antwerp |
| 26' | 🟨 | Mahamadou Doumbia · Antwerp |
| 36' | ⚽ | Vincent Janssen · Antwerp |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ousseynou Niang · St. Gilloise |
| 57' | 🟨 | Fedde Leysen · St. Gilloise |
| 67' | 🟨 | Charles Vanhoutte · St. Gilloise |
| 68' | ⚽ | Raul Florucz · St. Gilloise |
| 77' | 🟨 | Gyrano Kerk · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 24.00 | 24.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1597.56 | 1836.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.83 | 25.31 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.65 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.85 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | -0.03 |
| solidity v1 | -0.82 | 1.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.14 | 1.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.83 | 0.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.38 | 1.73 |