← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, May 25, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 86% | 1.10 |
| Draw | 9% | 10.00 |
| Gent win | 4% | 25.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −2.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Gent −2.5 | 49% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 71% | 1.34 |
| Under | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Franjo Ivanović · St. Gilloise |
| 45' | ⚽ | Andri Guðjohnsen · Gent |
| 68' | ⚽ | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
| 69' | 🟨 | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
| 75' | ⚽ | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
| 87' | 🟨 | Koki Machida · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 4 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 328.00 | 144.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.26 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1833.73 | 1523.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.54 | -58.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.70 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.54 |
| league points | 90.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 7.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | -0.35 |
| solidity v1 | 1.37 | -1.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 25.13 |
| state index | 1.30 | -1.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 2.04 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.31 |