← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, May 25, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 48% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.64 |
| Anderlecht win | 26% | 3.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Genk −0.5 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Yari Verschaeren · Anderlecht |
| 21' | ⚽ | Zakaria El Ouahdi · Genk |
| 34' | 🟨 | Leander Dendoncker · Anderlecht |
| 51' | ⚽ | Zakaria El Ouahdi · Genk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Theo Leoni · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days |
| 358.00 |
| 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1679.75 | 1626.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.50 | -8.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.10 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.74 |
| league points | 84.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | 0.72 |
| solidity v1 | 0.07 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.21 | 28.61 |
| state index | -0.10 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.89 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 1.58 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.51 |