← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, May 24, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Ledda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 44% | 2.19 |
| Dender win | 32% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dender +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Mechelen +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 69% | 1.39 |
| Under | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Bill Antonio · Mechelen |
| 14' | 🟨 | Nathan Rodes · Dender |
| 14' | 🟨 | Bryan Goncalves · Dender |
| 14' | 🟥 | Benito Raman · Mechelen |
| 22' | ⚽ | Fabio Ferraro · Dender |
| 31' | ⚽ | Stephen Welsh · Mechelen |
| 43' | ⚽ | Nathan Rodes · Dender |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ridwane M'Barki · Dender |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dender | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | DENDER Football Complex |
| coach days |
| 388.00 |
| 84.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1491.80 | 1547.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.19 | 19.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.59 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| league points | 49.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 7.07 | 6.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | 1.28 |
| solidity v1 | -1.08 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.23 | 1.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 2.23 |