← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, May 18, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 48% | 2.01 |
| Gent win | 29% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent +0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Genk +0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.45 |
| Under | 34% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Dante Vanzeir · Gent |
| 32' | ⚽ | Yira Collins Sor · Genk |
| 45' | ⚽ (og) | Mohamed Soumah · Genk |
| 58' | 🟨 | Matisse Samoise · Gent |
| 70' | ⚽ | Noah Adedeji-Sternberg · Genk |
| 88' | ⚽ | Tolu Arokodare · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 5 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 137.00 | 351.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1537.68 | 1665.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -59.64 | -54.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.82 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.75 |
| league points | 56.00 | 81.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.00 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 7.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | 0.53 |
| solidity v1 | -3.13 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.13 | 25.21 |
| state index | -1.55 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | 1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.86 | 1.64 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.07 |