← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, May 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Verbeke
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Charleroi win | 30% | 3.12 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Mechelen −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.56 |
| Under | 39% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Yassine Titraoui · Charleroi |
| 78' | ⚽ | Lion Lauberbach · Mechelen |
| 88' | 🟨 | Fredrik Hammar · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| coach days |
| 78.00 |
| 443.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1549.16 | 1561.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.53 | 34.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.67 | 1.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.70 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 66.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| league points | 56.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.91 | 8.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 18.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.08 | 1.05 |
| solidity v1 | -0.85 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.86 | 1.45 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.17 | 2.39 |