← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, May 11, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Gent win | 35% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Gent +0 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.51 |
| Under | 37% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Olivier Deman · Antwerp |
| 34' | ⚽ | Tjaronn Chery · Antwerp |
| 42' | ⚽ | Tjaronn Chery · Antwerp |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mahamadou Doumbia · Antwerp |
| 52' | 🟨 | Archie Brown · Gent |
| 57' | 🟨 | Matisse Samoise · Gent |
| 59' | ⚽ | Gyrano Kerk · Antwerp |
| 64' | 🟥 | Noah Fadiga · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| 130.00 |
| 71.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1556.42 | 1591.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -76.65 | -7.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.75 |
| league points | 56.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.00 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 9.89 | 10.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -10.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.81 | 0.27 |
| solidity v1 | -3.36 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.13 | — |
| state index | -1.71 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.94 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.91 | 1.53 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.27 |