← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, May 10, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 44% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Anderlecht win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Mohammed Fuseini · St. Gilloise |
| 33' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 37' | 🟨 | Kevin Mac Allister · St. Gilloise |
| 49' | 🟨 | Noah Sadiki · St. Gilloise |
| 57' | 🟨 | Moussa Ndiaye · Anderlecht |
| 82' | 🟨 | Tristan Degreef · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ross Sykes · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days |
| 70.00 |
| 313.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 1.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1661.57 | 1815.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.93 | 18.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.00 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.57 | -0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.70 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.80 |
| league points | 63.00 | 84.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 9.30 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.70 | -0.71 |
| solidity v1 | 0.81 | 1.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.61 | — |
| state index | 0.77 | 1.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.43 | 1.23 |