← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, May 10, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 62% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.56 |
| Standard win | 17% | 5.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −1 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Standard −1 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Fredrik Hammar · Mechelen |
| 32' | 🟨 | Sotiris Alexandropoulos · Standard |
| 68' | 🟨 | Sotiris Alexandropoulos · Standard |
| 68' | 🟥 | Sotiris Alexandropoulos · Standard |
| 83' | 🟨 | Stephen Welsh · Mechelen |
| 87' | 🟨 | Henry Lawrence · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 13 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| coach days |
| 70.00 |
| 495.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1552.87 | 1477.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.70 | -14.06 |
| eye test v1 | 0.95 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.78 |
| league points | 55.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.99 | -0.04 |
| solidity v1 | -1.02 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | — | 24.89 |
| state index | 0.00 | -0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.90 | 1.57 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.29 | 1.01 |