← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, May 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 46% | 2.07 |
| Kortrijk win | 28% | 3.43 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden +0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Kortrijk +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Adriano Bertaccini · St Truiden |
| 8' | ⚽ | Abdelkahar Kadri · Kortrijk |
| 21' | ⚽ | Nayel Mehssatou · Kortrijk |
| 37' | ⚽ | Loïc Lapoussin · St Truiden |
| 49' | 🟨 | Rein Van Helden · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 5 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days |
| 98.00 |
| 39.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1473.84 | 1501.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.63 | 0.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | 0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 41.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | 0.26 |
| solidity v1 | 0.39 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| state index | 0.32 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 0.98 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.69 |