← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Fri, May 9, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 57% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.39 |
| Westerlo win | 21% | 4.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Westerlo −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.45 |
| Under | 33% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Nikola Štulić · Charleroi |
| 29' | ⚽ | Isa Sakamoto · Westerlo |
| 39' | ⚽ | Isa Sakamoto · Westerlo |
| 55' | ⚽ | Matija Frigan · Westerlo |
| 56' | 🟨 | Thomas Van den Keybus · Westerlo |
| 57' | ⚽ | Nikola Štulić · Charleroi |
| 63' | 🟨 | Haspolat Dogucan · Westerlo |
| 66' | 🟨 | Mardochee Nzita · Charleroi |
| 69' | 🟨 | Matija Frigan · Westerlo |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Daan Heymans · Charleroi |
| 74' | 🟨 | Allahyar Sayyadmanesh · Westerlo |
| 80' | 🟨 | Tuur Rommens · Westerlo |
| 84' | ⚽ | Cheick Keita · Charleroi |
| 88' | 🟨 | Daan Heymans · Charleroi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Haspolat Dogucan · Westerlo |
| 90' | 🟥 | Haspolat Dogucan · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days |
| 434.00 |
| 373.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 1.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1554.45 | 1526.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.13 | 21.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.97 | 1.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.10 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.70 |
| league points | 53.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 5.30 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.77 | 0.95 |
| solidity v1 | -0.31 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| state index | 0.51 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 1.84 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.98 | 2.46 |