← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, May 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 68% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.28 |
| Beerschot VA win | 14% | 7.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA −1.5 | 52% | 1.90 |
| St Truiden −1.5 | 48% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 69% | 1.38 |
| Under | 31% | 3.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Adriano Bertaccini · St Truiden |
| 69' | ⚽ | Adriano Bertaccini · St Truiden |
| 87' | ⚽ (pen) | Welat Cagro · Beerschot VA |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Beerschot VA |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| coach days | 33.00 | 489.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1497.00 | 1350.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.39 | -3.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | -1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| league points | 41.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 7.80 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 0.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.00 | -0.49 |
| solidity v1 | 0.34 | -1.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.20 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.14 | 2.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.06 |