← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Fri, May 2, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Ledda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 56% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.29 |
| Dender win | 22% | 4.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −0.75 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Dender −0.75 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 68% | 1.41 |
| Under | 32% | 3.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Roman Kvet · Dender |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Allahyar Sayyadmanesh · Westerlo |
| 62' | ⚽ (pen) | Bruny Nsimba · Dender |
| 63' | 🟨 | Haspolat Dogucan · Westerlo |
| 76' | ⚽ | Matija Frigan · Westerlo |
| 88' | ⚽ (pen) | Griffin Yow · Westerlo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Serhiy Sydorchuk · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Dender |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 366.00 | 366.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1516.76 | 1459.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.96 | 6.24 |
| eye test v1 | 1.02 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| league points | 47.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.02 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.78 | -0.23 |
| solidity v1 | -0.48 | -2.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.66 | 2.33 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.15 | 1.29 |