← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Thu, May 1, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Anderlecht win | 27% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Anderlecht −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 47' | 🟨 | Denis Odoi · Antwerp |
| 55' | ⚽ | Keisuke Goto · Anderlecht |
| 63' | 🟨 | Denis Odoi · Antwerp |
| 63' | 🟥 | Denis Odoi · Antwerp |
| 69' | ⚽ | Nathan De Cat · Anderlecht |
| 86' | ⚽ | Samuel Edozie · Anderlecht |
| 88' | ⚽ | Michel Ange Balikwisha · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days |
| 61.00 |
| 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1607.69 | 1645.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| league points | 56.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | 0.74 |
| solidity v1 | -0.56 | 0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 28.61 |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.70 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.33 |