← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Apr 27, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Gent win | 29% | 3.32 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Matisse Samoise · Gent |
| 29' | 🟨 | Leonardo Lopes · Gent |
| 38' | 🟨 | Jan-Carlo Simic · Anderlecht |
| 62' | 🟨 | Matisse Samoise · Gent |
| 62' | 🟥 | Matisse Samoise · Gent |
| 69' | 🟨 | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
| 76' | ⚽ | Leander Dendoncker · Anderlecht |
| 86' | 🟨 | Tiago Araújo · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days | 116.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1582.00 | 1635.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -54.01 | -10.16 |
| eye test v1 | -1.06 | -0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.73 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.75 |
| league points | 56.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 3.71 | 3.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | 0.38 |
| solidity v1 | -2.85 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.13 | 28.61 |
| state index | -1.31 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 1.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.86 | 1.20 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.74 | 1.02 |