← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 26, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: B. Verbeke
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Mechelen win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Mechelen +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.51 |
| Under | 37% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 58' | ⚽ | Lion Lauberbach · Mechelen |
| 73' | ⚽ | Islam Slimani · Westerlo |
| 77' | ⚽ | José Marsà · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Keano Vanrafelghem · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Griffin Yow · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 360.00 | 56.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1518.20 | 1527.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.13 | -23.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | 1.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | — |
| league points | 46.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 85.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 3.91 | 3.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 18.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | 1.37 |
| solidity v1 | -0.67 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 1.48 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.59 | 2.49 |