← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Wed, Apr 23, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Antwerp win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Genk +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Zeno Van Den Bosch · Antwerp |
| 61' | ⚽ | Michel Ange Balikwisha · Antwerp |
| 71' | ⚽ | Tolu Arokodare · Genk |
| 83' | 🟨 | Semm Renders · Antwerp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mohamed Bayo · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| 53.00 |
| 326.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 1.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1590.83 | 1720.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.56 | -8.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 67.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.80 |
| league points | 52.00 | 80.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 3.29 | 3.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 2.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.93 |
| solidity v1 | -1.31 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | — | 25.21 |
| state index | -0.99 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.75 | 1.43 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.90 | 1.81 |