← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Wed, Apr 23, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.74 |
| Gent win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −0.5 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Gent −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Jordan Torunarigha · Gent |
| 30' | ⚽ | Kasper Dolberg · Anderlecht |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | Kasper Dolberg · Anderlecht |
| 42' | ⚽ | Leander Dendoncker · Anderlecht |
| 54' | ⚽ | Kasper Dolberg · Anderlecht |
| 59' | ⚽ | Kasper Dolberg · Anderlecht |
| 81' | 🟨 | Omri Gandelman · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 3 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days |
| 53.00 |
| 112.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 1.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1620.11 | 1597.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.69 | -50.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.59 |
| league points | 54.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 3.29 | 3.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | -0.23 |
| solidity v1 | -0.39 | -2.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.61 | 25.13 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.83 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 2.78 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 0.93 |