← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Tue, Apr 22, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Westerlo win | 25% | 3.96 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Westerlo −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 69% | 1.42 |
| Under | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Emin Bayram · Westerlo |
| 28' | ⚽ | Matija Frigan · Westerlo |
| 30' | ⚽ (og) | Luka Vušković · Mechelen |
| 36' | 🟨 | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 41' | 🟥 | Lion Lauberbach · Mechelen |
| 64' | ⚽ | Isa Sakamoto · Westerlo |
| 71' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 77' | ⚽ | Thomas Van den Keybus · Westerlo |
| 80' | 🟨 | Thomas Van den Keybus · Westerlo |
| 83' | 🟨 | Bilal Bafdili · Mechelen |
| 83' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | AFAS Stadion |
| 86' | 🟨 | Rafik Belghali · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stephen Welsh · Mechelen |
| coach days | 52.00 | 356.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1540.63 | 1505.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.89 | -11.62 |
| eye test v1 | 1.46 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| league points | 48.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 3.09 | 2.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.55 | 0.09 |
| solidity v1 | -0.15 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.36 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.53 | 1.51 |