← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Tue, Apr 22, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: K. Clerkx
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 45% | 2.17 |
| Dender win | 28% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Dender +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Parfait Guiagon · Charleroi |
| 54' | ⚽ | Roman Kvet · Dender |
| 59' | 🟨 | Mardochee Nzita · Charleroi |
| 68' | 🟨 | Kobe Cools · Dender |
| 69' | ⚽ | Aurelien Scheidler · Dender |
| 70' | 🟨 | Aurelien Scheidler · Dender |
| 74' | 🟨 | Lennard Hens · Dender |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 27 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dender | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | DENDER Football Complex |
| coach days |
| 356.00 |
| 417.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1460.97 | 1543.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.80 | 29.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.88 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| league points | 39.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 3.19 | 3.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | 0.74 |
| solidity v1 | -1.46 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.99 | 1.73 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.54 |