← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 37% | 2.65 |
| St. Gilloise win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| St. Gilloise +0 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Ousseynou Niang · St. Gilloise |
| 16' | 🟨 | Kamiel Van de Perre · St. Gilloise |
| 40' | 🟨 | Zakaria El Ouahdi · Genk |
| 42' | ⚽ (pen) | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
| 50' | ⚽ | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tolu Arokodare · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days |
| 323.00 |
| 293.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 3.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1730.31 | 1787.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.58 | 25.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.86 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.70 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.65 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.77 |
| league points | 80.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.90 | 0.28 |
| solidity v1 | 0.21 | 1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.21 | — |
| state index | 0.84 | 1.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 0.90 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.93 | 1.61 |