← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Apr 20, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Antwerp win | 26% | 3.82 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Anderlecht −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Olivier Deman · Antwerp |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jan-Carlo Simic · Anderlecht |
| 89' | 🟨 | Senne Lammens · Antwerp |
| 90' | 🟨 | César Huerta · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days |
| 50.00 |
| 50.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1622.77 | 1588.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.69 | -39.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.86 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.74 |
| league points | 53.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 7.70 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| solidity v1 | -0.54 | -1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.61 | — |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.90 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.56 | 1.58 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 0.86 |