← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 19, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Westerlo win | 31% | 3.21 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Standard −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Haspolat Dogucan · Westerlo |
| 54' | 🟨 | Arthur Piedfort · Westerlo |
| 59' | ⚽ | Dennis Eckert · Standard |
| 87' | ⚽ | Serhiy Sydorchuk · Westerlo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alexandro Calut · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days |
| 474.00 |
| 353.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1504.03 | 1503.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.97 | -6.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | 0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.76 |
| league points | 48.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 6.06 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | 0.05 |
| solidity v1 | 0.31 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.89 | — |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | -1.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.45 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 1.71 |