← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 19, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Mechelen win | 30% | 3.29 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Charleroi −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Nikola Štulić · Charleroi |
| 20' | ⚽ | Daan Heymans · Charleroi |
| 28' | 🟨 | Massamba Sow · Charleroi |
| 62' | ⚽ | Nikola Štulić · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 24 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days |
| 414.00 |
| 49.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1527.43 | 1556.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.36 | 12.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 1.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| league points | 44.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | 1.06 |
| solidity v1 | -0.38 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| state index | -0.01 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.88 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.52 | 1.06 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 2.33 |