← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Apr 13, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Gent win | 28% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Antwerp −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Jelle Bataille · Antwerp |
| 22' | ⚽ | Noah Fadiga · Gent |
| 27' | 🟨 | Vincent Janssen · Antwerp |
| 29' | 🟨 | Noah Fadiga · Gent |
| 41' | 🟨 | Denis Odoi · Antwerp |
| 79' | 🟨 | Jordan Torunarigha · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stefan Mitrović · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tsuyoshi Watanabe · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| 43.00 |
| 102.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 1.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1599.24 | 1622.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.09 | -29.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.58 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.59 |
| league points | 51.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.37 | 0.29 |
| solidity v1 | -0.92 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 25.13 |
| state index | -0.89 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 2.01 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.66 | 1.10 |