← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Fri, Apr 11, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Westerlo win | 35% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Westerlo +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Matija Frigan · Westerlo |
| 20' | ⚽ | Nikola Štulić · Charleroi |
| 62' | 🟨 | Thomas Van den Keybus · Westerlo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Žan Rogelj · Charleroi |
| 90' | ⚽ | Griffin Yow · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 345.00 | 406.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1504.92 | 1526.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.92 | 8.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.74 |
| league points | 41.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 5.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 0.74 |
| solidity v1 | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.69 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.39 | 1.35 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 1.52 |