← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Apr 6, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Anderlecht win | 35% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Anderlecht +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Leander Dendoncker · Anderlecht |
| 32' | ⚽ | Joris Kayembe · Genk |
| 78' | ⚽ | César Huerta · Anderlecht |
| 83' | 🟨 | Majeed Ashimeru · Anderlecht |
| 84' | ⚽ | Zakaria El Ouahdi · Genk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nikolas Sattlberger · Genk |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mujaid Sadick · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days |
| 36.00 |
| 309.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1638.46 | 1739.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.66 | 19.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | 0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 67.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.74 |
| league points | 53.00 | 77.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 7.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 2.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 1.09 |
| solidity v1 | -0.39 | 0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.61 | 25.21 |
| state index | 0.02 | 1.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 1.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 2.01 |