← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Apr 5, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.82 |
| Gent win | 23% | 4.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Gent +0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Anouar Ait El Hadj · St. Gilloise |
| 33' | ⚽ | Franjo Ivanović · St. Gilloise |
| 39' | ⚽ | Promise David · St. Gilloise |
| 56' | 🟨 | Leonardo Lopes · Gent |
| 80' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.56 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Planet Group Arena |
| coach days |
| 94.00 |
| 278.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.26 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1636.01 | 1766.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.61 | 23.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | 1.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.66 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.65 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.72 |
| league points | 53.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | 0.62 |
| solidity v1 | -0.51 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 6.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 25.13 | — |
| state index | -0.05 | 1.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.75 | 1.05 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 1.76 |