← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 30, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dender win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Westerlo win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Dender −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ (og) | Bryan Reynolds · Dender |
| 68' | 🟨 | Roman Neustädter · Westerlo |
| 82' | 🟨 | Emin Bayram · Westerlo |
| 87' | 🟨 | Thomas Van den Keybus · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 13 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dender | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | DENDER Football Complex |
| coach days |
| 333.00 |
| 333.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.18 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1454.17 | 1517.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.24 | 17.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| league points | 33.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 13.99 | 13.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.83 | -0.68 |
| solidity v1 | -1.33 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.87 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.15 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.93 | 1.69 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 1.11 |