← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 30, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 62% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.29 |
| Gent win | 16% | 6.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk −1 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Gent −1 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Konstantinos Karetsas · Genk |
| 38' | ⚽ | Konstantinos Karetsas · Genk |
| 50' | ⚽ | Tolu Arokodare · Genk |
| 88' | ⚽ | Hyeon-gyu Oh · Genk |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hyeon-gyu Oh · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 302.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1728.38 | 1647.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.59 | -2.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.63 |
| league points | 74.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 14.86 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 2.18 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | 0.41 |
| solidity v1 | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.21 | 25.13 |
| state index | 1.08 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 1.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.64 | 1.25 |