← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Club Brugge win | 32% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Club Brugge +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.68 |
| Over | 42% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Bram Lagae · Kortrijk |
| 33' | 🟥 | Bram Lagae · Kortrijk |
| 54' | ⚽ | Lawrence Agyekum · Club Brugge |
| 65' | 🟨 | Marco Ilaimaharitra · Kortrijk |
| 71' | 🟨 | Edgaras Utkus · Club Brugge |
| 74' | 🟨 | Mouhamed Gueye · Kortrijk |
| 80' | ⚽ | Thibo Somers · Club Brugge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Abu Francis · Club Brugge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Abu Francis · Club Brugge |
| 90' | 🟥 | Abu Francis · Club Brugge |
| 90' | ⚽ | Abdelkahar Kadri · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days |
| 57.00 |
| 29.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 4.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1434.21 | 1632.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 52.24 | 9.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 31.00 | 92.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 13.85 | 0.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.51 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | -0.56 |
| solidity v1 | 0.56 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 22.92 |
| state index | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.57 | -1.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.90 | 1.38 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.54 | 1.13 |