← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 29, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 35% | 2.76 |
| Standard win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Standard +0 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Andreas Hountondji · Standard |
| 33' | ⚽ | Patrick Pflücke · Mechelen |
| 41' | ⚽ | Lazare Amani · Standard |
| 68' | ⚽ | Keano Vanrafelghem · Mechelen |
| 80' | 🟨 | Ahmed Touba · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days |
| 453.00 |
| 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1512.49 | 1550.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.84 | 17.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.78 |
| league points | 46.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 13.20 | 12.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -0.17 |
| solidity v1 | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.89 | — |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.27 |