← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 16, 05:34 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Beerschot VA win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Beerschot VA +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Josimar Alcócer · Westerlo |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Griffin Yow · Westerlo |
| 46' | 🟨 | Hakim Sahabo · Beerschot VA |
| 46' | 🟨 | Thomas Van den Keybus · Westerlo |
| 71' | ⚽ (og) | Tuur Rommens · Beerschot VA |
| 76' | 🟨 | Bryan Reynolds · Westerlo |
| 86' | ⚽ | Roman Neustädter · Westerlo |
| 87' | 🟨 | Faisal Al-Ghamdi · Beerschot VA |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Beerschot VA | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Olympisch Stadion |
| coach days | 440.00 | 319.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 3.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1353.97 | 1509.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.14 | 15.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.97 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | 0.72 |
| league points | 20.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 8.91 | 7.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.61 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | -0.37 |
| solidity v1 | -0.34 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.97 | 1.85 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 1.28 |