← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 16, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Club Brugge win | 23% | 4.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge −0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Anderlecht −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Luis Vázquez · Anderlecht |
| 26' | 🟨 | Erick Nunes · Club Brugge |
| 26' | 🟨 | Lucas Perrin · Club Brugge |
| 29' | 🟨 | Lucas Hey · Anderlecht |
| 34' | 🟨 | Flávio Nazinho · Club Brugge |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jan Vertonghen · Anderlecht |
| 77' | 🟨 | Gary Magnee · Club Brugge |
| 84' | 🟨 | Edgaras Utkus · Club Brugge |
| 87' | ⚽ | Adryelson · Anderlecht |
| 90' | ⚽ | César Huerta · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 17 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 5.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1646.46 | 1622.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.86 | -19.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 52.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| league points | 50.00 | 89.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 2.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | -0.67 |
| solidity v1 | 0.34 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.61 | 22.92 |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.07 | -0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.27 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 0.92 |