← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 15, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 37% | 2.62 |
| St. Gilloise win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| St. Gilloise +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 54' | 🟨 | Bryan Heynen · Genk |
| 69' | ⚽ | Tolu Arokodare · Genk |
| 83' | ⚽ | Hyeon-gyu Oh · Genk |
| 89' | ⚽ | Anouar Ait El Hadj · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.63 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.54 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days |
| 287.00 |
| 257.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1718.73 | 1766.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.47 | 20.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | 1.93 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.30 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.74 |
| league points | 71.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 2.15 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.01 | 0.98 |
| solidity v1 | 0.32 | 0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 8.40 |
| squad age | 25.21 | — |
| state index | 0.95 | 1.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.74 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 0.95 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.64 | 2.33 |