← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 41% | 2.39 |
| Westerlo win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Westerlo +0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Matija Frigan · Westerlo |
| 22' | ⚽ | Haspolat Dogucan · Westerlo |
| 50' | 🟨 | Griffin Yow · Westerlo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Westerlo | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Het Kuipje |
| coach days | 312.00 | 8.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1490.00 | 1666.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.67 | 1.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.97 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.64 |
| league points | 33.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 6.86 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | 0.26 |
| solidity v1 | -0.21 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | — | 28.61 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.85 | 1.05 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 1.03 |