← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Mechelen win | 28% | 3.39 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Mechelen −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Mechelen |
| 50' | 🟨 | Yassine Titraoui · Charleroi |
| 53' | 🟨 | Lion Lauberbach · Mechelen |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ortwin De Wolf · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charleroi | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade du Pays de Charleroi |
| coach days | 372.00 | 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.97 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1538.96 | 1532.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.05 | -6.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.47 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.80 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.76 |
| league points | 38.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.89 | 0.46 |
| solidity v1 | 1.32 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 1.19 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.92 | 1.62 |