← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Fri, Mar 7, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 60% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 |
| Beerschot VA win | 18% | 5.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA −1 | 50% | 1.94 |
| St Truiden −1 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Adriano Bertaccini · St Truiden |
| 42' | 🟨 | Welat Cagro · Beerschot VA |
| 55' | 🟨 | Visar Musliu · St Truiden |
| 62' | 🟨 | Bruno Godeau · St Truiden |
| 69' | 🟨 | Rajiv Van La Parra · Beerschot VA |
| 90' | 🟥 | Ewan Henderson · Beerschot VA |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Didier Lamkel Zé · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | Beerschot VA |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium |
| coach days | 187.00 | 431.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1510.48 | 1360.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.70 | 18.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.30 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| league points | 32.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 18.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 5.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 0.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | -0.03 |
| solidity v1 | -0.87 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.87 | 1.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 1.19 |