← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 2, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Standard win | 29% | 3.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 48' | 🟨 | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
| 63' | ⚽ | Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht |
| 83' | 🟨 | Ludwig Augustinsson · Anderlecht |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jan-Carlo Simic · Anderlecht |
| 88' | ⚽ | Nilson Angulo · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 426.00 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1528.19 | 1654.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.60 | 1.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| league points | 45.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 7.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.63 | 0.51 |
| solidity v1 | -0.68 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.89 | 28.61 |
| state index | -0.00 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.75 | 1.03 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.59 | 1.38 |