← Jupiler Pro League 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| Beerschot VA win | 27% | 3.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA +0.5 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Mechelen +0.5 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Welat Cagro · Beerschot VA |
| 30' | 🟨 | Ewan Henderson · Beerschot VA |
| 44' | ⚽ | Welat Cagro · Beerschot VA |
| 46' | 🟥 | Nick Shinton · Beerschot VA |
| 54' | 🟨 | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 86' | 🟨 | Rafik Belghali · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lion Lauberbach · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stephen Welsh · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Petter Nosakhare Dahl · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Beerschot VA | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Olympisch Stadion |
| coach days | 426.00 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 4.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1347.08 | 1546.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.32 | -2.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.73 |
| league points | 17.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.55 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | 0.51 |
| solidity v1 | -0.67 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| state index | -1.25 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.11 | 1.43 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.69 |